| Report

Clearing the Zero-Emission Path

A review of financial transfers to polluting fuels via California carbon trading programs

This report reveals how California’s carbon trading programs funneled $27.8 billion to oil companies and biofuel suppliers from 2013 to 2024. 

Both the Cap and Trade program and the Low Carbon Fuel Standard have the stated purpose of reducing greenhouse gas emissions and helping California meet its statutory climate goals. In reality, our analysis shows that both programs incentivized continued reliance on fossil fuels and contributed to “carbon lock-in,” delaying the necessary transition to zero-emission vehicles and public transit.

Key findings:

From 2013 to 2024, California transferred $27.8 billion to combustion fuel producers, including:

  • $8.64 billion through free Cap and Trade allowances to oil refiners and drillers
  • $19.17 billion through Low Carbon Fuel Standard credits to biofuel suppliers

Over the same time period, $27.8 billion could have funded:

  • The installation of 2.8 million level-two EV chargers to serve roughly 11 million Californians
  • Free public transit statewide for 12 years, $11 billion left for service improvements and transit electrification
  • Complete job transition support for California’s oil workers, with some $15 billion left over